CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-11-27T19:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-11-27T19:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35370/-1
CME Note: Southeastward partial halo CME with the likely source a filament eruption seen in GOES SUVI 304 and 284 starting around 2024-11-27T18:45Z extending southeastwards from Active Regions 13905 (S09E01) and 13906 (S16E08). The CME also has a second, following front - a loop seen in SOHO LASCO C2 at 2024-11-27T20:36Z. Only one frame for this CME is available in STEREO A COR2 because of an extensive data gap.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-12-02T20:07Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-01T08:10Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 44.05 hour(s)
Difference: 35.95 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-12-01T00:04Z
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